 Dave Wilkins : Social Learner |
 Photosynth and wisdom of the crowd
One
of the basic tenets of the “Social Networking – Web 2.0 – Community”
movement is that crowds are smarter than individuals. While there is
ample evidence to support this:
-
60% increase in productivity at Proctor and Gamble from crowdsourcing
-
91% success rate of the audience in Who Wants to be a Millionaire
-
The success of stock market indexes versus individual portfolio managers etc… etc… etc….
…it’s
still sometimes hard for people outside the Web 2.0 industry to
understand how the collective intelligence of non-experts could
outweigh the accumulated and business-validated knowledge of internal,
company experts. Partly this is simply an issue of rethinking the
traditional business model itself. Today’s business model is still
largely based on a scarcity model and the accompanying economic
paradigm of supply and demand. Like many institutions, businesses have
been slow to adapt to macro-level changes in culture and
technology. Just as the US military is equipped and trained to fight
the last war instead of the next one, so too is the institution of
business still training and promoting managers based on the last great
bastions of success, specifically a “goods-based” business paradigm.
What
has replaced the scarcity paradigm is a catalyst paradigm. In a
“goods-based economy,” you and I cannot both possess the same physical
object. In a knowledge economy, not only can we possess the same
knowledge and electronic assets, we can add to that knowledge through
discussion and collaboration in ways that aren’t possible with physical
objects. Google Map mashups are a great example of this. Yahoo Pipes
applications are another. Today, it’s possible to rapidly create
something new by combining existing digital assets and human
interactions in imaginative ways. This is why I refer to this as a
catalyst paradigm. One definition of a catalyst is “A
substance that changes the speed or yield of a chemical reaction
without being consumed or chemically changed by the chemical
reaction.” One of the defining characteristics of this emerging economy
is the ability to bring greater value to existing assets through
remixes or through the addition of community and collaboration. It’s
not about knowledge or even experts; it’s about wisdom and the
interconnections that come with context. What’s different now is that
advantage is gained through the sharing and interplay of knowledge or
ideas, not just through the ideas themselves.
There
are numerous examples of this new paradigm at work – Microsoft vs
Google, Barnes and Noble vs Amazon, Mapquest vs Google Maps. Microsoft
creates things, specifically applications; Google built its strength on
understanding interrelationships: between websites, between creators of
documents, between content and ads, etc… Barnes and Noble sells the
same books that Amazon does, but Amazon extended the “book” with
user-generated data. Now, I can move beyond the book itself to a
meta-discourse on its perceived value and relationship to other
books. I can derive value from other people’s interaction with the book
and related books, and I can add my own experience to a collective
valuation and context. Mapquest and Google Maps are both tools to
generate maps, but only one of these enables me to extend the map data
through integration with other data sources, what is generally referred
to as a “mashup.” Google, Amazon, and Google Maps are all compelling
examples of a catalyst paradigm at work. And in all cases, the
catalysts are the interplay, the value of human interactions, and
context.
While
these examples are all very powerful, perhaps the most compelling
argument for this catalyst model is, somewhat ironically, a new piece
of photo software from Microsoft: Photosynth. At one level, Photosynth
is “just” a really amazing piece of photo presentation software. Really
amazing, but still just another way to look at images. At another level
however, Photosynth is perhaps one of the most concrete and powerful
realizations of the catalyst paradigm. Essentially what PhotoSynth does
is scan public domain picture sites, such as Flickr, to create
composite 3d images of various real world places. By scanning disparate
pictures of the same place, it can piece together the
interrelationships between the pictures, the distance and angle from
which each individual shot was taken, and generate not only a 3d
representation of the real world object, but a contextual map of the
pictures as well (which element of the composite came from what
individual picture(s)). I’m not sure I have ever seen a more compelling
case for the catalyst paradigm or better proof of the adage “the whole
is greater than the sum of its parts.” Here is a link to a
demonstration of Photosynth at TED: http://www.ted.com/index.php/talks/view/id/129
So
when next confronted with a skeptic who doesn’t “get it” or a newbie
who is trying to understand how a large collection of regular Joes
could generate more value than a smaller pool of recognized experts,
show them the Photosynth video. Talk to them about how Google rose to
prominence by mining user-generated data from links or how Amazon
extended the sale of physical objects to include collective valuations
and context. And if that doesn’t work, just wait a few months and take
them to a few of your competitor's sites so they can see what they
should have done…
Thu, Oct 25 2007 |
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